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Analysis

How to Read Your Progress Charts

Volume, estimated 1RM, and trend lines — what each chart is really telling you, and which one to trust when they disagree.

Level
Intermediate
Read time
6 min

Charts are only useful if you know what question each one answers. Bikkel gives you three main views, and each has a job.

Estimated 1RM: are you getting stronger?

Estimated one-rep max turns any set of weight and reps into a single strength number, so a heavy triple and a lighter set of ten become comparable. Watch its trend, not any single point — a rising line over weeks means real strength, even if today’s session felt bad.

Volume: are you doing enough work?

Total volume — sets times reps times weight — tracks how much work you are accumulating. Flat or falling volume next to a stalled 1RM usually means you are under-doing it. Spiking volume next to worse performance means the opposite.

One session is a data point. Only the trend line is the truth.

When charts disagree

  • Strength up, volume flat: efficient progress — keep going.
  • Volume up, strength flat: check recovery before adding more work.
  • Both falling: you are due a deload, not a harder week.

Read the charts weekly, decide monthly, and let the trend — never a single bad day — drive the next block.

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